The UFC is back tonight with a banger of a card headlined by a pair of welterweight contenders in Leon "Rocky" Edwards and Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad.
On the deep 13-fight card, we have some absolute fireworks ready to fire. Dan Ige vs. Gavin Tucker, Manel Kape vs. Matheus Nicolau and Charles Jourdain vs. Marcelo Rojo. Some other natal fights on the card are Darren Stewart vs. Eric Anders, Misha Cirkunov vs. Ryan Spann and Rani Yahya vs. Ray Rodriguez. Personally, I'm also excited to see Angela Hill back in the cage.
On the gambling side, we have quite a few significant favorites on this card. Some fights I believe are way closer than the odds state are Jourdain vs. Rojo, Yahya vs. Rodriguez, Haqparast vs. Garcia and Stewart vs. Anders. Obviously, I will include some things on my prop card that will associate with these bouts, but other than a couple props I’ll be staying away. With this being said there are a few play I like a lot.
Follow my twitter and IG for full cards and props @_cobyw.
1. Manel Kape -130
I love this play. This could be a bit of a bait line, but I feel people are overlooking his subpar outing vs. Pantoja. Pantoja is clearly a top 3 flyweight and I believe Kape isn't far off as well. Manel Kape is a guy that came over from Rizin to the UFC with extremely high expectations. He was thrown into being a backup for the flyweight title bout between Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo and then fed to the guy that is probably next in line for a shot at the winner of the Figgy vs. Moreno rematch.
Just a month and a week following a tough loss, Kape is back in there with a guy, Matheus Nicolau, that is a question mark in a few aspects however, we know he will bring the fight to Kape. Kape is the better striker in this bout and I feel like his kickboxing and Muay Thai will be too much for Nicolao to take. Nicolau was KO'd by Dustin Ortiz and Pedro Nobre, imagine what a decorated striker like Kape can do. Overall, I think this line is way too low and that people are ruling out Kape's abilities after his last performance.
2. Yahya/Rodriguez U2.5 -165
If this line is a bit juicy for you, parlay it with Angela Hill ML, or by decision if you are greedy like me. The decision and under parlay would pay out +140, which is great value considering my liking for the two plays.
Yahya has 38 professional MMA bouts 21 of them ending by submission. The 3/1 favorite, 36-year-old, is an absolute force in the grappling department. Some even say he's the bantamweight Demian Maia. With this being said Yahya has been to decision 13 times in his career however, this one doesn't seem like one that will see the judges. Ray Rodriguez is a vet of 23 fights, 8 which have gone the distance. However, he hasn't seen the judges’ scorecards in 7 fights or since 2017. With the minimal gas tank of Yahya I will be on this under as well as Yahya by submission +105 and Rodriguez by KO +550.
Honorable Mentions: Jourdain/Rojo U2.5 -110, Ige -150