UFC Vegas 20 Gane vs. Rozenstruik: Coby's Best Bets

The UFC is back tonight with its third straight card capped off with a heavyweight contender bout, this one between Ciryl Gane and Jair Rozenstruik.

This card has been absolutely battered with withdraws and cancelled fights, however it’s the UFC. Although it’s only a 10-fight-card, this one will bring the heat as we have some entertainers leading up to the firework filled main event.

Some fights to be excited for are Magomed Ankalaev vs. Nikita Krylov, Alex Caceras vs. Kevin Croom and Alex Hernandez vs. Thiago Moises. Other enjoyable fighters on the card are Angela Hill, Jimmie Rivera and Pedro Munhoz.

As far as gambling goes, Angela Hill stands as the biggest favorite on the card at -400, which is reasonable and a solid parlay piece. Ankalaev is the second biggest favorite at -335, which I would stay away from because that’s a way closer fight than the odds say. I believe the odds in the main event are way too far apart. Although I think Gane has all the tools and skills to win, Rozenstruik at a 2/1 dog and him by KO being nearly 3/1 have solid value.

In my last three articles for Smoke Sports I’m 8-2. For my full card plays, props and giveaways check out my twitter @_CobyW.

1. Jimmie Rivera -150

I think everyone knows how deep the bantamweight division is and these two not being the co-main, or at least the fight prior to it, is a crime. This fight is also a rematch from 2015, Rivera got the win by split decision. I see this fight going exactly the same for Rivera. Getting to his bread and butter, gritty wrestling, and just grinding Munhoz out is his smartest and safest path to victory. With this being said, Rivera stood with Munhoz in their last bout which did the job, but wrestling could be an easier way to win. Although their last fight went to a split decision, every media member scored the fight 29-28 for Jimmie. Seeing that some money has been trending Munhoz’s way early today, I like Jimmie more. I see Rivera getting it done by decision, which is -105 and will be on my card, however it’s a fight and Munhoz has finishing ability.

2. Mayra Bueno Silva -130

This fight and the Mazo vs. Davis one are probably the two closest of the night. However, I think Silva has the advantage everywhere, aside from the wrestling, in this bout. As she if a severe high level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioner, she is considerably comfortable on the ground, especially off her back. Unless De la Rosa’s striking and grappling defense has improved a ton, I see Silva doing her thing tonight. Whether that be by submission, +300, or by decision +200, I’ll have both on my card.

Honorable Mention: Ronnie Lawrence -165

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