UFC Vegas 17 Thompson vs. Neal: Coby's Plays

The UFC caps off a historic year with a banger of a card headlined by, welterweight contenders, Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson vs. Geoff “Handz of Steel” Neal.

Although this card was plagued by COVID-19, it is still an absolutely stacked card. In the co-main we have, future UFC Hall-of-Famer, Jose Aldo vs. Chito Vera. Also on this card, Marlon Moraes vs. Rob Font, Khaos Williams vs. Michel Pereira and Greg Hardy vs. Marcin Tybura.

This card features an appearance from another future UFC Hall-of-Famer, Anthony Pettis, who is fighting in 20thcareer UFC bout. Also, we will see a war between two UFC debutants, Tafon Nchukwi and Jamie Pickett, and a high level fight in which two flyweight prospects, Jimmy Flick and Cody Durden, go at it.

As far as gambling goes, there’s money to be made everywhere. For my plays here I went with a juicy favorite, because I feel like the line is still low, a KO prop and a casual vet favorite at a solid price.

For my full card picks, plays, props and giveaways follow me on twitter @thiskid_coby5.

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1. Anthony Pettis -200

Pettis was -230 yesterday, this is an awesome price. I just didn’t understand this matchmaking. Pettis has fought basically every household name in the lightweight division in the last 10 years. He has proven to be resilient and his experience is second to almost none in the division. I don’t think Alex Morono brings something to the table that Showtime Pettis hasn’t seen before. I also believe this is a significant step down in competition for Pettis. This means this is a step up for Morono and a huge test of his skillset. I’ll take experience in this situation anytime and not only does Pettis have the advantage there, but just about anywhere. Pettis could be the perfect parlay piece of the night.

2. Marlon Moraes -150

Heads up, this could be one we sweat. Not because I don’t trust Moraes, but because this division is so good and always is a sweat to watch when you have a side. Rob Font has fought twice in the last two years, so this is a slight question mark. Based on his track record he has yet to take down a huge name, Moraes is one of the bigger names. Marlon is coming off a tough loss, however has always been resilient in his career. To me this is Marlon’s fight to lose. Pushing the pace and landing heavy hands will be key for him. Also, he’s has to avoid getting hit. Overall, I think this a very winnable fight for Moraes if he plays his game.

Honorable Mentions: Nchukwi by KO -170, Jimmy Flick -150

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