UFC on ESPN 16 Holm vs Aldana: Coby’s Plays

Its fight day on Fight Island as former champion Holly Holm takes on bantamweight contender Irene Aldana.

As this is for sure a more lackluster card, depth-wise, it’s kind of expected after the insanity of the last two. However, there are some bangers here. The co-main between Yorgan De Castro and Carlos Felipe will be a brawl. Some other bouts to be excited about are Carlos Condit vs Court McGee, Charles Jourdain vs Josh Culibao and Germaine de Randamie vs Julianna Pena.

As far as gambling goes, there are some sizeable favorites on this card. Kyler Phillips is the largest favorite on the card at -480 which is wild because Cameron Else is a savage and has won all his fights by 1stround finish. A longshot for sure, but Else is clearly comes out of the gate with fire and power.

For my full card picks follow me on twitter @thiskid_coby5. Follow @smoke_sports1 for his locks as well.

1. Germaine de Randamie -150

The GDR line is only going to go up. Julianna Pena has fought once since January 2017 and it was a Nicco Montana who is 4-3 and hasn’t fought since. GDR is 6-2 in the UFC with her two losses coming to the GOAT Amanda Nunes. Being a far superior kickboxer, it will be essential for GDR to keep in on the feet and use her kicks to control range. To me GDR is just a better overall then Pena. I expect this fight to go to the judges’ scorecards: however, the over is -225.

2. Holy Holm -120

This fight just doesn’t seem like one the former champ loses. All five of her losses came to former champs. However, Irene Aldana is coming off a huge KO win vs Ketlen Vieira, which was a very impressive win. With this being said this is Holly’s fight to lose. She is the veteran, has a superior fight IQ to most UFC fighters and comes through when it’s time to dethrone a hype train. Holly is a safe investment in my opinion definitely someone to have confidence in if she plays her game.

Honorable Mentions: Lookboonmee -145

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