UFC Fight Night 179 Moraes vs. Sandhagen: Coby's Plays

Fight night returns as two top Bantamweight contenders, in Marlon Moraes and Cory Sandhagen, battle in tonight’s main event on Fight Island.

As the main event will be a technical war, there are some absolute dog fights on this card. For example, Youssef Zalal vs Ilia Topuria, Markus Perez vs Dricus Du Plessis and Edson Barboza vs Makwan Amirkhani. All these bouts have the potential to be fight of the night.

On the gambling side of the card, there are some toss ups here tonight. Definitely a more competitive card than last week, a very deep card as well. Just two favorites are over -300, which is a good thing for you parlay people. Also, I love a few plus money plays.

My full card picks are out on my twitter @thiskid_coby5. Check out @smoke_sports1 on twitter for his daily locks.

1. Marlon Moraes +110

If you give me Moraes at plus money, I’m absolutely taking it, unless it’s against Petr Yan or Aljamain Sterling again. Truth is Moraes is going to be that guy for the bantamweights that probably won’t ever win the belt, but will be the guy you have to beat to get a title shot. Cory Sandhagen just hasn’t beat a guy as skilled, technically sound and experienced as Marlon. Sandhagen is for sure a dangerous opponent, however he doesn’t bring much that Moraes hasn’t seen before. This is really Moraes’ fight to lose. I actually don’t hate the over 3.5 rounds at +105 even though Sandhagen has never been in a five round fight. Fights in which are more technical tend to last longer, don’t be surprised if it goes to the judges or comes close.

2. Nascimento/Daukaus U1.5 -140

Rodrigo Nascimento is a sizeable favorite here, as expected considering he is 8-0 with all his wins by finish. Chris Daukaus is 9-3 and has only been to one decision in his career. Daukaus has made it past the halfway mark of round two just twice in 11 fights. Nascimento has made it there once. This fight screams a finish and the public is clearly on Nascimento. Nascimento by Submission is still a great play at -110. As long as they don’t spend too much time on the cage this should be over before we know it.

Honorable Mentions: Zalal -170


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