UFC 254 Nurmagomedov vs Gaethje: Coby's Picks

In just a few hours we are set to see two of the world's greatest martial artists battle for the UFC's lightweight title as Khabib Nurmagomedov squares off with Justin Gaethje.

Gaethje is said to have the skill set to possibly defeat the 28-0 Dagestaian phenom, however, it obviously won't be easy.

Some other awesome bouts on this card are Robert Whittaker vs Jared Cannonier, Magomed Ankalev vs Ion Cutelaba 2, and Tai Tuivasa vs Stefan Struve. Casey Kenney vs Nathaniel Wood is one of the more overlooked bouts on this card for sure.

As far as gambling goes, I couldn't be more excited to get on this card. For the Khabib fans, this might be one of the only fights you can get him at a reasonable number to parlay. There are a few fights that are basically even money, we will look to get at some of those.

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1. Joel Alvarez -170

I usually try to stay away from a line this high, however, I just still feel like there's a ton of value here. Alvarez is a Jiu-Jitsu monster, submitting 15 opponents in 17 wins. His opponent Alexander Yakovlev definitely has his fair share of submission wins however he's been subject to getting submitted as well. Yakovlev is a bit hard to read, he survived a 3 round grappling match with Damian Maia but was submitted by Zak Cummings. Yakovlev is a wrestler, but it is a question if he would like to take it to the ground due to Alvarez's slick submission game. I think Alvarez's striking is a bit discredited too. Yakovlev, 36, with just two fights in the last 4+ years, gives most of the advantage to the younger Alvarez. Alvarez by Submission is +190, which has great value, but I wouldn't be surprised if we see this go to the judges.

2. Nurmagomedov/Gaethje Ov2.5 -140 (Alt line)

I don’t see a scenario in which this fight doesn’t go at least three rounds. We all know how Khabib fights, when he gets u down he stays on top and waits till you quit. Justin Gaethje doesn’t quit. This is going to be a war wherever it goes, but these are two insanely durable fighters. I think Gaethje puts up a strong fight, but it is Khabib Nurmagomedov bout to lose.

Honorable mention: Maverick/Jojua U2.5

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