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The Genesis Invitational - Lets Hit Back to Back Outrights!

Let’s start this thing out with a monstrous shout out to my guy Scottie Scheffler on winning the WM Phoenix Open! This was his first win on tour in his career. I am so happy I had a ticket on Scottie! It’s always the best when you are able to finally cash in on a guy. It was quite the sweat though. When Scottie missed that 5-foot putt on 18 to win it, I nearly lost my mind. But nonetheless, Scottie got it done in a playoff and the 28-1 ticket was cashed! Second outright of this short year for me.

I can’t get into the next tournament without talking about how awesome the Waste Management was this year. I mean the scene on 16 when Sam Ryder made that hole in one was unlike anything I’ve ever seen before on a golf course. The fans were going ballistic chucking beers on the golf course. Everyone was having just an incredible time. Then of course there was another ace on 16 on Sunday by Carlos Ortiz. Even at 10:30 am at the course, the scene was still insane. My favorite moment on 16 though had to be Harry Higgs and Joel Dahmen going shirtless on the greens. All and all an incredibly fun tournament from start to finish.

The Genesis Invitational

Location: Los Angeles California

Course: Riviera Country Club

Par: 71 – 4 par 3s, 11 par 4s, 3 par 5s

Length: 7,322 yards

Greens: Poa Annua – Fast

Average Green Size: 7,500 sq ft. (Large)

Field Size: 120 Players – Top 65 players make cut after 36 holes

Purse: $12 Million – Winner $2.16 Million


Previous Winners – Odds Included

2021: Max Homa (-12) – 60/1

2020: Adam Scott (-11) – 33/1

2019: J.B. Holmes (-14) – 150/1

2018: Bubba Watson (-12) – 50/1

2017: Dustin Johnson (-17) – 9/1

2016: Bubba Watson (-15) – 25/1

Let’s talk Genesis Invitational! I love this tournament for a multitude of reasons. Right off the top, Tiger Woods is the host of the tournament. So, we can expect to see him have a press conference on Wednesday. I am looking forward to hearing him speak and see where he is at. It would be incredible if we could get a Masters commitment from him, but I’m not sure we do yet. Tiger should also be in the booth on Sunday which is always fun to hear the Goat talk some golf.


Then you look at the field in this event and what’s not to love? We have the top 11 ranked players in the world all teeing it up. We’re seeing some names we haven’t seen in a bit make their way back for this event. My favorite golfer in the world, Collin Morikawa, is playing and I am pumped about that. We also get to see Rory; it’ll be interesting to see where his game is at. An absolutely stacked field that should make for great entertainment.


Now for the golf course. Riviera County Club is a fantastic and challenging venue. There has not been much rain at all in the area this year so expect the course to be very firm and fast. It is going to test the golfer’s full skill sets. It’s decently long and we generally see guys who hit it longer have a bit of an advantage. The fairways are extremely narrow and will be at a premium this week. There is no water here, but the trees and dog legs play more what players will be worried about. Guys are going to have to strategically plot around this place to score well. Iron play is always the biggest factor in golf, but it is especially important at this course. The greens here are extremely quick. A higher ball flight and spin control will be crucial to try and stick these fast greens. We will see a ton of shots that look good but end up rolling off the green and into a collection area. So short game is also huge here. Getting up and down from just off the green will be a much-needed skill to succeed here. As I mentioned, the greens are quite fast, but they are also difficult to putt on. We usually see the most putts missed inside of 5 feet all year at this tournament. So, it kind of neutralizes the putting. I will be seeking to back great ball strikers, with solid short games this week. The 3 par-5’s are crucial to score well on. We may not see many eagles, but birdie will be almost required at these holes to score.

Outrights:


Justin Thomas +1600

JT is seriously due for a win and I think his profile suits this place well. He was the runner up in 2019 and has played this event several times. If we want to talk top ball strikers in the world, Thomas will have to be in that conversation. His game around the green is also a great asset. At a price of 16/1 Thomas is definitely a play for me.


Collin Morikawa +2000

I stated it earlier, but Morikawa is my favorite player in the world and I’m so happy he’s back playing this week. I’ve been talking a lot about ball strikers but for my money Collin is the best in the world at it. He is absolutely elite on approach and that the most important area in golf. Weirdly enough he also has had some decent success putting on similar green types. He should keep the driver in play and have some nice look this week.


Will Zalatoris +2900

Willy Z is back on the card for me. The common theme of the card so far if you couldn’t figure it out is BALL STRIKERS. Add another one to the list. Zalatoris missed the last two weeks with Covid but looked great prior to that with a 2nd at the Farmers and a 6th at the Amex. Zalatoris is going to be a star in this game, so we have to take the longer odds prices while we can still get them.


Sam Burns +4000

Sammy Burns is my bounce back guy this week. He missed the cut in his previous two events but finished 3rd at the Genesis last year. Burns has gained strokes on approach and around the greens in every tournament he has played this year except for one. Burns is just another one of these guys with the type of game that is capable of winning.


Gooch +5000

Goooooooooooch! He looked awesome last week until the Sunday where he had a poor round. In his 3 appearances at this event, they have all come in the top 20. Gooch has literally gained strokes on approach in every tournament he’s played this year. My kinda player. Added to the card.


Leishman +6000

I needed at least one Australian on my card for this event. I’ve been doing a lot of reading stating that Australians thrive here. I was considering Cam Smith but didn’t like the price. So, sign me up for Leishman. He fits my ball striker mold for this card and finished 4th here in 2019.


Henley +6000

Last but not least, I am back on Russell Henley. Russ has been playing some solid golf this year including a 2nd place finish at the Sony. Another guy who is just a pure iron player. I love a good 60/1 number too. So, sign me up for some Henley.


Top 20:


Thomas Pieters +230

Robert Macintyre +350


Full Tournament H2H:


Xander > Scottie Scheffler -120 (It feels wrong fading Scottie)

Molinari > Theegala +105

Morikawa > Rory -110

Brooks > Spieth -120

Burns > Im -110


That’s what I am rolling with! Ran out of time a bit and didn’t get to add explanations for the picks. However, that’s why we have a podcast. Smokin Greens comes out every Wednesday morning, so be on the look out for that! Follow along on both my twitter and the show page twitter as well.

Twitter: @Bminus3 @Smokin_Greens


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