Let's finish week 4 with a bang! Went 5-1 on my Sunday card and I am back for the Monday Night Special!
We get to wrap up week four with an AFC West showdown. The Raiders are heading to LA to take on the Chargers. Who would have thought we were getting the undefeated Raiders vs a 2-1 Chargers team that easily could have been undefeated themselves?
My Pick – Raiders +3.5 -115
My site was offering a soft +3 at +100, I bought the hook to get it to +3.5 to protect myself from a late FG loss. Which is exactly what happened the last time these two teams played, the Chargers beat the Raiders in OT on a FG. The other matchup between these two teams last year resulted in a Raiders win 31-26 @ the Chargers.
It seems like everyone, and their mother is jumping to back the Chargers this week. I am seeing as high as 80% of the money being put on the Chargers -3. I love to be on the other side, especially in a prime time match up. It seems like everyone is caught up in the Chargers beating KC last week and are running to lay 3 points in a division match up. In general, I like to be on the dog in any divisional game, so that helps my case in this one. I also like fading teams coming off emotional wins the previous week. Therefore, we’re rolling with Gruden and his boys!
Week 5 NFL Look Ahead:
I love getting down on some lines right when they open. Sometimes you can catch a nice number before it moves! Also, sometimes you get a shit number, but that’s the risk you take betting games early. Here’s what I’m getting down on early for week 5.
Rams ML -115 @ Seattle
Titans -4 @ Jacksonville
Bills +3 @ KC
Packers/Bengals Over 49
Jets/Falcons Over 44
6-point teaser: Ravens -1/Cowboys -1
Vikings -2/Cowboys -1