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Mets @ Phillies


nytimes.com

NYM (-195) @ PHI (+175)

O/U 8.5

Talk about two teams who are very different trajectories. The Mets have won their last two, scoring 19 runs in the process. The Phillies just got swept in a 3-game series by the Orioles giving up 26 runs. Now the Phillies have to go up against arguably the best pitcher in the MLB when Jacob DeGrom takes the mound tonight. Adding on to that the Phillies are starting Spencer Howard who will be making his second career start. In his previous start he went 4.2 innings and gave up 4 runs.

Usually, when DeGrom starts the Mets fail to score runs. However, this season the Mets are averaging 4 runs per game when DeGrom pitches. In 2018 if the Mets scored 4 runs a game when DeGrom was on the mound he would’ve had a 30-0 record. That’s a real statistic, I swear.

To Recap:

The Mets are hitting the best they’ve been all year, and DeGrom is on the mound.

The Phillies are in a massive slump, and have a second time starter on the mound.

The Pick: NYM -1.5 (-135)

Mets 6 - Phillies 1

Indians @ Tigers

CLE (-180) @ DET (+165) O/U 8.5

This game is simple.

The Indians have Anthony Civale on the mound who has a 1-2 record despite having a 2.84 ERA. The reason being, the bullpen of Cleveland has been lackluster. In his 3 starts he average around 6 innings and gives up 2 runs.

The Tigers have Ivan Nova toeing the rubber. He has a 1-0 record despite having a 5.74 ERA. In his 3 starts he averages 5 innings and gives up around 3-4 runs.

So, if you take those averages it should be about 3-2 or 3-1 at the end of the 5th, which means take the Indians in the First 5 innings.

The Pick: CLE F5 -.5 (-135)

Indians 5 – Tigers 3

Braves @ Marlins

ATL (-105) @ MIA (-105)

O/U 8.5

Who would’ve thought that after 3 weeks into the season, the Marlins would be in first place in the NL East. Granted, they’ve only played 12 games due to COVID-19, but still an impressive feat. The Braves were expected to be the kings of the NL East, but have yet to find suitable starting pitching especially after Mike Soroka went down with a season ending injury. They were hoping that today’s pitcher Kyle Wright would be that, yet he hasn’t been nearly as productive as they would’ve hoped. With an ERA of 6.75 and an 0-2 record he has been quite disappointing.

The Marlins counter with Pablo Lopez who has been fantastic for the Marlins. In 2 starts he has a 1.80 ERA. The only hiccup is that he has yet to go over 5 innings of work. What does that mean? Well, the Marlins should have the advantage in the start of the game, but as the game enters the later innings, expect more runs to come across. Both these teams have proficient hitting, and mediocre bullpens. Even with Acuna sidelined, the Braves have enough firepower to put up plenty of runs.

The Pick(s): MIA F5 -.5 (+105) & Over 8.5

Braves 6 – Marlins 5

Overall Record: 29-19 (.604)

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